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πŸ“ Yield Curve (10Y-3M)
…
T10Y − T3M spread
10Y: … 3M: …
Negative = inverted = recession risk
πŸ“‰ 10Y βˆ’ 2Y Spread
…
T10Y − T2Y spread
10Y: … 2Y: …
Negative = inverted = recession risk
πŸ’΅ Liquidity (Retail MMF)
…
β€”
β€”
Rising = cash leaving stocks β†’ bear
Falling = wall of cash β†’ bull
πŸ§“ Buffett Indicator
300.9%
Strongly Overvalued (static)
Mkt Cap: $98TGDP: $32.6T
<90% cheap · 90–200% caution
>200% extreme overvaluation
πŸ“‰ VIX Signal
…
VIX …
Prev: …
VIX>20 β†’ Fear β†’ Buy
VIX<20 β†’ Greed β†’ Sell
😨 F&G Index (static)
21
Extreme fear
PC: 201W: 221M: 33
πŸ“ MOVE Index (static)
Scale In
MOVE 103.3
PC: 106.85d: 101.1
>130 Bond Panic → Buy
<80 Calm → Reduce
🟒 NVDA P/C Ratio (static)
Neutral
P/C Vol 0.634
PC: 0.634Puts: 358,944
>1.00 Panic → Buy
<0.50 Greed → Protect

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